A research team from the University of the Philippines (UP) projected that the number COVID-19 cases in the country may reach over half a million by the end of 2020.
The UP COVID-19 Pandemic Response Team saw that 402,821 cases to 767,611 cases, or an average of 585,216 cases may be confirmed by December 31 of this year. The group used the Department of Health’s August 31 data for this projection.
The update, posted on the group’s Endcov.PH website, also mentions a projection of 2 million detected and undetected cases.
The model used for the projections “assumes a medium risk,” meaning this prediction is “not the worst-case scenario.”
Following the same projections, their estimated number of active cases or those still infected with COVID-19 by December 31 are 20,991 to 116,726. On average, they estimate 13,771 of the active cases to be severe and critical cases.
Meanwhile, deaths are projected to reach 5,059 to 10,094.
