PH may see 8,000 daily new cases by end-March

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With the current numbers of COVID-19 infections, a research group estimates that there can be up to 8,000 daily new cases by the end of the month, and 18,000 to 20,000 by mid-April if the current reproduction rate does not change.

According to OCTA Research group, daily virus cases in Metro Manila alone could reach 5,000 to 6,000 by end of March and 14,000 by mid-April. OCTA Research fellow Guido David explained that the estimate is based on a 1.9 reproduction rate, or the number of people infected by a virus patient.

“‘Yung projections namin, nagkatotoo na. In fact, mas mabilis na siya compared sa original naming projection. Kaya, nag-readjust ng projection,” he said.

Prior to this updated projection, the OCTA Research Group earlier calculated that daily virus cases in the entire country would reach 5,000 by end of the month, and 3,000 in Metro Manila.

Metro Manila local governments have enforced granular lockdowns in several areas in a bid to curb the transmission of COVID-19. This comes exactly a year after the imposition of community quarantine in the capital region.