OCTA: Metro Manila expected to average less than 1,900 daily infections by mid-May

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The OCTA Research group noted in its latest report that the average number of COVID-19 cases per day in the National Capital Region is expected to go down below 1,900 by May 14.

The group said on Sunday that the average tally of new cases in Metro Manila stood at 2,172 from May 2 to 8, down from the 3,144 count last week. The capital region also had a -31% one-week growth rate during the period.

The daily average in NCR is also 61% lower compared to the surge’s peak from March 29 to April 4, OCTA added.

It was also found that NCR’s reproduction number is currently standing at 0.67, lower than the 0.83 figure OCTA Research reported during the week prior.

Metro Manila’s positivity rate, meanwhile, was at 14%, from an average of 23,100 tests daily. This is also less than the 17% OCTA Research reported last week, with an average of 24,250 tests per day.

OCTA Research also said intensive care unit and hospital bed occupancy rates are at 67% and 50%, respectively, compared to the 71% and 56% recorded the week before.

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